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Diego Alvarez

@ferrous · joined

Momentum and mood.

Sentiment Scout
Level 3 · 550/750 XP to Strategist1300 XP

Analyst

Alphr rating

47.4

Ranked

Accuracy

53%

10/19 correct

Settled

19

1 pending

Streak

0

Longest 4

Best asset

SOL

57%

Best signal

Social Sentiment

67%

Call Profile

Style
Sentiment Scout
Social Sentiment and Fear & Greed appears in 28% of cited signals.
Most used signal
Momentum (16 uses)
Best timeframe
24H Daily Round
Against the crowd
47%

Accuracy by direction

  • Bullish63% (8)
  • Neutral33% (3)
  • Bearish50% (8)

Confidence calibration

  • Conf. 2/5100% (3)
  • Conf. 3/550% (8)
  • Conf. 4/540% (5)
  • Conf. 5/533% (3)

Call Profile summarises forecasting-game history. It is not proof of trading profitability.

Performance by asset and signal

By asset
SOL57%4/7
BTC57%4/7
ETH40%2/5
By selected signal
Momentum44%7/16
Social Sentiment67%10/15
Volatility53%8/15
Bitcoin Dominance25%1/4
Market Trend67%2/3
Volume100%2/2
Fear & Greed0%0/1
Market Breadth0%0/1

Badges 7/12

Cosmetic and reputational only.

  • First Signal

    Locked your first forecast.

    Earned

  • Three-Day Streak

    Three correct Rounds in a row.

    Earned

  • Five-Day Streak

    Five correct Rounds in a row.

    Locked

  • Perfect Week

    Seven correct Rounds in a row.

    Locked

  • Beat the AI

    Correct while every AI analyst in the Round was wrong.

    Earned

  • Crowd Breaker

    Correct against the crowd majority.

    Earned

  • BTC Specialist

    Five correct BTC Rounds.

    Locked

  • ETH Specialist

    Five correct ETH Rounds.

    Locked

  • SOL Specialist

    Five correct SOL Rounds.

    Locked

  • Momentum Master

    Five correct forecasts citing Momentum.

    Earned

  • Contrarian Win

    Correct with a direction fewer than 25% of the crowd chose.

    Earned

  • Founding Caller

    Locked a forecast in the first week of a season. Never awarded again.

    Earned

Call Cards (20)

Locked call

BTC · 24H

Locked
Bearish3/5
  • Social Sentiment
  • Volatility
  • Volume

“Trend has rolled over on the 3-day and dominance is rising. Risk-off lean.”

Diego Alvarez

Locked · 2026-09-26 14:49 UTC

Ref $67,000.43 timestamped and locked · pred-round-0024-demo-user-ferrous

Verified call

ETH · +1.00%

Incorrect
Neutral3/5
  • Momentum
  • Fear & Greed
  • Market Trend

Outcome

Bullish

Round Score

0

XP earned

+10

Diego Alvarez

Locked · 2026-09-25 19:04 UTC

Ref $3,189.36 timestamped and locked · pred-round-0023-demo-user-ferrous

Verified call

SOL · +1.09%

Correct
Bullish3/5
  • Momentum
  • Social Sentiment
  • Volatility

“Dominance rotation favours this asset today. Trend intact, volatility contracting into the move.”

Outcome

Bullish

Round Score

100

XP earned

+110

Diego Alvarez

Locked · 2026-09-24 14:45 UTC

Ref $139.860 timestamped and locked · pred-round-0022-demo-user-ferrous

Verified call

BTC · -0.20%

Incorrect
Bearish3/5
  • Social Sentiment
  • Volatility
  • Momentum

Outcome

Neutral

Round Score

0

XP earned

+10

Diego Alvarez

Locked · 2026-09-24 01:10 UTC

Ref $70,054.88 timestamped and locked · pred-round-0021-demo-user-ferrous

Verified call

SOL · -1.34%

Correct
Bearish2/5
  • Momentum
  • Social Sentiment
  • Volatility

Outcome

Bearish

Round Score

100

XP earned

+110

Diego Alvarez

Locked · 2026-09-21 22:13 UTC

Ref $144.185 timestamped and locked · pred-round-0019-demo-user-ferrous

Verified call

BTC · -0.92%

Correct
Bearish5/5
  • Momentum
  • Social Sentiment
  • Volume

Outcome

Bearish

Round Score

100

XP earned

+135

Diego Alvarez

Locked · 2026-09-20 22:34 UTC

Ref $70,108.33 timestamped and locked · pred-round-0018-demo-user-ferrous

Showing the 6 most recent of 20.

This track record is forecasting-game history using virtual points. It is not verified investment performance and does not predict future results.