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alphr

Iris Kowalczyk

@saltmarsh · joined

Fear & Greed contrarian.

Sentiment Scout
Level 3 · 155/750 XP to Strategist905 XP

Analyst

Alphr rating

45.0

Ranked

Accuracy

58%

7/12 correct

Settled

12

1 pending

Streak

0

Longest 4

Best asset

ETH

75%

Best signal

Market Breadth

80%

Call Profile

Style
Sentiment Scout
Social Sentiment and Fear & Greed appears in 31% of cited signals.
Most used signal
Market Trend (11 uses)
Best timeframe
24H Daily Round
Against the crowd
42%

Accuracy by direction

  • Bullish40% (5)
  • Neutral67% (3)
  • Bearish75% (4)

Confidence calibration

  • Conf. 2/5100% (1)
  • Conf. 3/550% (4)
  • Conf. 4/540% (5)
  • Conf. 5/5100% (2)

Call Profile summarises forecasting-game history. It is not proof of trading profitability.

Performance by asset and signal

By asset
ETH75%3/4
SOL50%2/4
BTC50%2/4
By selected signal
Market Trend64%7/11
Fear & Greed71%5/7
Bitcoin Dominance33%2/6
Market Breadth80%4/5
Social Sentiment67%2/3
Volume0%0/2
Momentum0%0/1
Volatility100%1/1

Badges 6/12

Cosmetic and reputational only.

  • First Signal

    Locked your first forecast.

    Earned
  • Three-Day Streak

    Three correct Rounds in a row.

    Earned
  • Five-Day Streak

    Five correct Rounds in a row.

    Locked
  • Perfect Week

    Seven correct Rounds in a row.

    Locked
  • Beat the AI

    Correct while every AI analyst in the Round was wrong.

    Earned
  • Crowd Breaker

    Correct against the crowd majority.

    Earned
  • BTC Specialist

    Five correct BTC Rounds.

    Locked
  • ETH Specialist

    Five correct ETH Rounds.

    Locked
  • SOL Specialist

    Five correct SOL Rounds.

    Locked
  • Momentum Master

    Five correct forecasts citing Momentum.

    Locked
  • Contrarian Win

    Correct with a direction fewer than 25% of the crowd chose.

    Earned
  • Founding Caller

    Locked a forecast in the first week of a season. Never awarded again.

    Earned

Call Cards (13)

Locked call

BTC · 24H

Locked
Bearish2/5
  • Fear & Greed
  • Bitcoin Dominance
  • Social Sentiment

“Lower highs on declining volume, social sentiment still euphoric. That divergence usually resolves down.”

Iris Kowalczyk

Locked · 2026-09-26 15:16 UTC

Ref $66,947.39 timestamped and locked · pred-round-0024-demo-user-saltmarsh

Verified call

ETH · +1.00%

Incorrect
Neutral4/5
  • Bitcoin Dominance
  • Market Trend
  • Market Breadth

Outcome

Bullish

Round Score

0

XP earned

+10

Iris Kowalczyk

Locked · 2026-09-25 14:41 UTC

Ref $3,206.93 timestamped and locked · pred-round-0023-demo-user-saltmarsh

Verified call

SOL · -1.34%

Incorrect
Bullish3/5
  • Fear & Greed
  • Market Trend
  • Volume

“Momentum has flipped positive and breadth is confirming across majors. Leaning bullish for the session.”

Outcome

Bearish

Round Score

0

XP earned

+10

Iris Kowalczyk

Locked · 2026-09-21 22:36 UTC

Ref $144.237 timestamped and locked · pred-round-0019-demo-user-saltmarsh

Verified call

BTC · -0.92%

Correct
Bearish2/5
  • Bitcoin Dominance
  • Market Trend
  • Social Sentiment

Outcome

Bearish

Round Score

100

XP earned

+110

Iris Kowalczyk

Locked · 2026-09-20 15:27 UTC

Ref $70,026.59 timestamped and locked · pred-round-0018-demo-user-saltmarsh

Verified call

ETH · -1.11%

Correct
Bearish3/5
  • Market Trend
  • Bitcoin Dominance
  • Market Breadth

“Lower highs on declining volume, social sentiment still euphoric. That divergence usually resolves down.”

Outcome

Bearish

Round Score

100

XP earned

+110

Iris Kowalczyk

Locked · 2026-09-16 20:34 UTC

Ref $3,376.64 timestamped and locked · pred-round-0014-demo-user-saltmarsh

Verified call

BTC · +1.79%

Incorrect
Bearish3/5
  • Bitcoin Dominance
  • Market Trend
  • Momentum

“Volatility expanding on red candles and breadth deteriorating. Expecting the neutral band to break lower.”

Outcome

Bullish

Round Score

0

XP earned

+10

Iris Kowalczyk

Locked · 2026-09-14 18:09 UTC

Ref $61,881.83 timestamped and locked · pred-round-0012-demo-user-saltmarsh

Showing the 6 most recent of 13.

This track record is forecasting-game history using virtual points. It is not verified investment performance and does not predict future results.